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前陣子錯過了各大百貨公司的週年慶，沒有買到特別優惠的【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)，好險台灣有很多節慶例如雙11或是聖誕節
而且這幾年折扣真的是越來越多，所以一定要抓緊機會趁折扣買~【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)就是我一直都有在做功課的
觀 察了很久才下定決心要買【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)，在買之前就有先上網查過網路上評價都挺不錯的~
看著看著也覺得【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)不錯 ，所以就決定在這次最划算的時候買下去!
用過以後【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)真的 符合我的期待
P.S如果你們家有3-8歲的孩子想要訂學習雜誌可以點擊免費申請試讀呦
P.S2 讓您的孩子贏在起跑點可以免費申請Disney美語教材(進入填寫相關資訊即可索取贈品喔)
而且很多 知名購物商城加入會員以後會不定時送電子折價券，所以其實買到的價格很多時候都比標價便宜很多
如果在購物商城買的話，除了有詳細的介紹以外，更有保障！！而且速度也很快~
↓↓↓限量折扣的優惠按鈕↓↓↓
【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)滾筒洗衣機價格,直立式洗衣機比較,分離式冷氣價格比較,滾筒式洗衣機評比,小冰箱評比,雙門冰箱推薦,單門冰箱,洗衣機推薦
↓↓↓現在馬上點擊購買↓↓↓
另外在推薦我平時會使用的平台可以比較價格找便宜~~
單門小冰箱二手 雙語：冬天出生的孩子“命運多舛”(圖)
冬天出生的孩子“命運多舛”
冬天出生的孩子可謂先天不足。多項研究表明，他們成績很差，上學時間較短，薪水較低，健康狀況較差，壽命也不如其他季節出生的孩子長。研究人員多年來一直在記錄這種效應，並試圖瞭解個中緣由。
Children born in the winter months already have a few strikes against them. Study after study has shown that they test poorly, don't get as far in school, earn less, are less healthy, and don't live as long as children born at other times of year. Researchers have spent years documenting the effect and trying to understand it。
但美國聖母大學(University of Notre Dame)經濟學傢巴克爾斯(Kasey Buckles)和亨格曼(Daniel Hungerman)可能揭露瞭出生季節關乎命運的一個被人們忽略的解釋。
But economists Kasey Buckles and Daniel Hungerman at the University of Notre Dame may have uncovered an overlooked explanation for why season of birth matters。
他們的發現對以往研究的可靠性提出瞭挑戰，並顯示出經濟學傢做出的看上去很可靠的假定可能忽略瞭一些奇特效應的關鍵原因。他們有此發現也是出於偶然。
Their discovery challenges the validity of past research and highlights how seemingly safe assumptions economists make may overlook key causes of curious effects. And they came across it by accident。
亨格曼2007年研究兄弟姐妹的行為時，他註意到一個傢庭裡的孩子往往都在同樣的季節出生。與此同時，巴克爾斯也正在考察導致生育多個孩子的經濟因素，他偶然發現母親的受教育水平和孩子的出生時間之間看上去存在關聯。
In 2007, Mr. Hungerman was doing research on sibling behavior when he noticed that children in the same families tend to be born at the same time of year. Meanwhile, Ms. Buckles was examining the economic factors that lead to multiple births, and coming across what looked like a relationship between mothers' education levels and when children were born。
巴克爾斯回憶道，我隻是在擺弄數據，卻得到瞭意想不到的結果，那就是教育程度較低的母親往往會在冬天生孩子。
'I was just playing around with the data and getting an unexpected result,' Ms. Buckles recalls of the tendency that less educated mothers were having children in winter。
這兩位經濟學傢的辦公室正好相對，某天他們比對各自的研究筆記，意識到他們可能偶然找出瞭此前的研究一直忽視的出生季節之謎的答案。
The two economists, whose offices are across from one another, were comparing notes one day and realized that they might have stumbled across an answer to the season-of-birth puzzle that previous research had overlooked。
此前大多數這類研究的一個重要假定是，冬天出生的孩子與其他時候出生的孩子具備同樣的背景。這些冬天出生的孩子肯定是發生瞭什麼事情所以才命途多舛。
A key assumption of much of that research is that the backgrounds of children born in the winter are the same as the backgrounds of children born at other times of the year. It must be something that happens to those winter-born children that accounts for their faring poorly。
麻省理工學院(Massachusetts Institute of Technology)經濟學傢安格瑞斯特(Joshua Angrist)和普林斯頓大學(Princeton University)的克魯格(Alan Krueger)1991年發表瞭一篇知名的論文，文中認為，出生季節造成孩子上學時間長短差異的原因在於，義務教育法對不同季節出生的孩子的影響。冬天的孩子早於其他孩子年滿16歲，這就意味著他們可以更早地合法離開學校，一些孩子正是這樣小冰箱推薦mobile01做的，因此導致這一群體受教育水平較低。
In a celebrated 1991 paper, economists Joshua Angrist of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Alan Krueger of Princeton University argued that season-of-birth differences in how far children go in school is due to how school-attendance laws affect children born at different times of the year. Children born in the winter reach their 16th birthdays earlier in the year than other children, which means they can legally drop out of school sooner in the school year -- which some do, leading to lower education levels in the group。
這可能對所有此類研究都有效。但如果巴克爾斯和亨格曼所發現的模式是真實的，以往研究所提出的其他因素的重要性就值得懷疑。如果冬天出生的孩子更可能來自弱勢傢庭，那他們命運不如別人也是正常的瞭。
There may be validity to all of that research. But if there was any truth to the pattern that Ms. Buckles and Mr. Hungerman discovered, it would question the weightiness of other factors from past research. If winter babies were more likely to come from less-privileged families, it would be natural to expect them to do more poorly in life。
上述兩位經濟學傢調查瞭美國疾病控制與預防中心(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)提供的1989-2001年之間出生的5,200萬人的出生證明數據，這基本上是美國在此期間的所有出生人口。同樣的模式不斷出現：未婚媽媽、未成年媽媽和教育程度在高中以下的媽媽生育的孩子比例在每年1月達到高峰。舉例來說，在這13年中，1月份出生的孩子有13.2%母親隻有十幾歲，而5月份出生的孩子這一比例為12%，二者相差不大，但在統計學上具有重要意義。
The two economists examined birth-certificate data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for 52 million children born between 1989 and 2001, which represents virtually all of the births in the U.S. during those years. The same pattern kept turning up: The percentage of children born to unwed mothers, teenage mothers and mothers who hadn't completed high school kept peaking in January every year. Over the 13-year period, for example, 13.2% of January births were to teen mothers, compared with 12% in May -- a small but statistically significant difference, they say。
亨格曼說，老實說，當我們第一次發覺這種模式時，我們震驚不已，懷疑是不是弄錯瞭。我們甚至一點都不興奮，而是覺得，這樣對嗎？
'Honestly, when we first saw these patterns, we were so stunned we wondered if we made some mistake,' says Mr. Hungerman. 'We weren't even excited, we were like, 'Is that right?''
他和巴克爾斯估計，對於個人間教育程度和收入差異，傢庭背景因素所占的比例最多為50%。他們認為，這表明安格瑞斯特和克魯格所描述的義務教育法的影響可能仍然存在，不過不能用以衡量學校教育對後來的收入有何影響，因為傢庭背景和學校教育的影響仍然混雜，而沒有分開。
He and Ms. Buckles estimate that family background accounts for up to 50% of the differences in education and earnings. That suggests to them that the compulsory-schooling effect Mr. Angrist and Mr. Krueger described could still be there, but that it can't be used to measure how schooling affects later earnings because it still mixes the effects of privilege and education instead of isolating them。
本文選自五月的天蘭蘭的的博客。點擊查看原文。
【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)價格比較【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)討論推薦 【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS) 尺寸怎麼看#GOODS_NAME#心得分享價格比較【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)部落客推薦#GOODS_NAME#使用評比推薦【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)分離式冷氣價格#GOODS_NAME#箱型冷氣推薦 【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)變頻冷氣價格比較 變頻冷氣機比較 您或許有興趣的東西:
而且這幾年折扣真的是越來越多，所以一定要抓緊機會趁折扣買~【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)就是我一直都有在做功課的
觀 察了很久才下定決心要買【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)，在買之前就有先上網查過網路上評價都挺不錯的~
看著看著也覺得【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)不錯 ，所以就決定在這次最划算的時候買下去!
用過以後【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)真的 符合我的期待
P.S如果你們家有3-8歲的孩子想要訂學習雜誌可以點擊免費申請試讀呦
P.S2 讓您的孩子贏在起跑點可以免費申請Disney美語教材(進入填寫相關資訊即可索取贈品喔)
而且很多 知名購物商城加入會員以後會不定時送電子折價券，所以其實買到的價格很多時候都比標價便宜很多
如果在購物商城買的話，除了有詳細的介紹以外，更有保障！！而且速度也很快~↓↓↓限量折扣的優惠按鈕↓↓↓
- 品號：3814481
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- 纖細的明暗層次
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【TOSHIBA東芝】65吋120HZ液晶顯示器+視訊盒(65P5650VS)滾筒洗衣機價格,直立式洗衣機比較,分離式冷氣價格比較,滾筒式洗衣機評比,小冰箱評比,雙門冰箱推薦,單門冰箱,洗衣機推薦
↓↓↓現在馬上點擊購買↓↓↓
另外在推薦我平時會使用的平台可以比較價格找便宜~~
| 寶貝用品購物網推薦 | ||
| | 專門賣寶寶天然的清潔用品~~ | |
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 | 瘋狂麥克 | 有時候新鮮貨我都在瘋狂麥克找，基本上想找的，瘋狂賣客都會賣~ |
單門小冰箱二手 雙語：冬天出生的孩子“命運多舛”(圖)
冬天出生的孩子“命運多舛”
冬天出生的孩子可謂先天不足。多項研究表明，他們成績很差，上學時間較短，薪水較低，健康狀況較差，壽命也不如其他季節出生的孩子長。研究人員多年來一直在記錄這種效應，並試圖瞭解個中緣由。
Children born in the winter months already have a few strikes against them. Study after study has shown that they test poorly, don't get as far in school, earn less, are less healthy, and don't live as long as children born at other times of year. Researchers have spent years documenting the effect and trying to understand it。
但美國聖母大學(University of Notre Dame)經濟學傢巴克爾斯(Kasey Buckles)和亨格曼(Daniel Hungerman)可能揭露瞭出生季節關乎命運的一個被人們忽略的解釋。
But economists Kasey Buckles and Daniel Hungerman at the University of Notre Dame may have uncovered an overlooked explanation for why season of birth matters。
他們的發現對以往研究的可靠性提出瞭挑戰，並顯示出經濟學傢做出的看上去很可靠的假定可能忽略瞭一些奇特效應的關鍵原因。他們有此發現也是出於偶然。
Their discovery challenges the validity of past research and highlights how seemingly safe assumptions economists make may overlook key causes of curious effects. And they came across it by accident。
亨格曼2007年研究兄弟姐妹的行為時，他註意到一個傢庭裡的孩子往往都在同樣的季節出生。與此同時，巴克爾斯也正在考察導致生育多個孩子的經濟因素，他偶然發現母親的受教育水平和孩子的出生時間之間看上去存在關聯。
In 2007, Mr. Hungerman was doing research on sibling behavior when he noticed that children in the same families tend to be born at the same time of year. Meanwhile, Ms. Buckles was examining the economic factors that lead to multiple births, and coming across what looked like a relationship between mothers' education levels and when children were born。
巴克爾斯回憶道，我隻是在擺弄數據，卻得到瞭意想不到的結果，那就是教育程度較低的母親往往會在冬天生孩子。
'I was just playing around with the data and getting an unexpected result,' Ms. Buckles recalls of the tendency that less educated mothers were having children in winter。
這兩位經濟學傢的辦公室正好相對，某天他們比對各自的研究筆記，意識到他們可能偶然找出瞭此前的研究一直忽視的出生季節之謎的答案。
The two economists, whose offices are across from one another, were comparing notes one day and realized that they might have stumbled across an answer to the season-of-birth puzzle that previous research had overlooked。
此前大多數這類研究的一個重要假定是，冬天出生的孩子與其他時候出生的孩子具備同樣的背景。這些冬天出生的孩子肯定是發生瞭什麼事情所以才命途多舛。
A key assumption of much of that research is that the backgrounds of children born in the winter are the same as the backgrounds of children born at other times of the year. It must be something that happens to those winter-born children that accounts for their faring poorly。
麻省理工學院(Massachusetts Institute of Technology)經濟學傢安格瑞斯特(Joshua Angrist)和普林斯頓大學(Princeton University)的克魯格(Alan Krueger)1991年發表瞭一篇知名的論文，文中認為，出生季節造成孩子上學時間長短差異的原因在於，義務教育法對不同季節出生的孩子的影響。冬天的孩子早於其他孩子年滿16歲，這就意味著他們可以更早地合法離開學校，一些孩子正是這樣小冰箱推薦mobile01做的，因此導致這一群體受教育水平較低。
In a celebrated 1991 paper, economists Joshua Angrist of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Alan Krueger of Princeton University argued that season-of-birth differences in how far children go in school is due to how school-attendance laws affect children born at different times of the year. Children born in the winter reach their 16th birthdays earlier in the year than other children, which means they can legally drop out of school sooner in the school year -- which some do, leading to lower education levels in the group。
這可能對所有此類研究都有效。但如果巴克爾斯和亨格曼所發現的模式是真實的，以往研究所提出的其他因素的重要性就值得懷疑。如果冬天出生的孩子更可能來自弱勢傢庭，那他們命運不如別人也是正常的瞭。
There may be validity to all of that research. But if there was any truth to the pattern that Ms. Buckles and Mr. Hungerman discovered, it would question the weightiness of other factors from past research. If winter babies were more likely to come from less-privileged families, it would be natural to expect them to do more poorly in life。
上述兩位經濟學傢調查瞭美國疾病控制與預防中心(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)提供的1989-2001年之間出生的5,200萬人的出生證明數據，這基本上是美國在此期間的所有出生人口。同樣的模式不斷出現：未婚媽媽、未成年媽媽和教育程度在高中以下的媽媽生育的孩子比例在每年1月達到高峰。舉例來說，在這13年中，1月份出生的孩子有13.2%母親隻有十幾歲，而5月份出生的孩子這一比例為12%，二者相差不大，但在統計學上具有重要意義。
The two economists examined birth-certificate data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for 52 million children born between 1989 and 2001, which represents virtually all of the births in the U.S. during those years. The same pattern kept turning up: The percentage of children born to unwed mothers, teenage mothers and mothers who hadn't completed high school kept peaking in January every year. Over the 13-year period, for example, 13.2% of January births were to teen mothers, compared with 12% in May -- a small but statistically significant difference, they say。
亨格曼說，老實說，當我們第一次發覺這種模式時，我們震驚不已，懷疑是不是弄錯瞭。我們甚至一點都不興奮，而是覺得，這樣對嗎？
'Honestly, when we first saw these patterns, we were so stunned we wondered if we made some mistake,' says Mr. Hungerman. 'We weren't even excited, we were like, 'Is that right?''
他和巴克爾斯估計，對於個人間教育程度和收入差異，傢庭背景因素所占的比例最多為50%。他們認為，這表明安格瑞斯特和克魯格所描述的義務教育法的影響可能仍然存在，不過不能用以衡量學校教育對後來的收入有何影響，因為傢庭背景和學校教育的影響仍然混雜，而沒有分開。
He and Ms. Buckles estimate that family background accounts for up to 50% of the differences in education and earnings. That suggests to them that the compulsory-schooling effect Mr. Angrist and Mr. Krueger described could still be there, but that it can't be used to measure how schooling affects later earnings because it still mixes the effects of privilege and education instead of isolating them。
本文選自五月的天蘭蘭的的博客。點擊查看原文。
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